U.S. chipmaker NVIDIA said it received a notice from the U.S. government on August 26, informing the company that it needs a new license to export certain graphics processing units (GPUs) used in AI to China and Russia.
The new license equates to an export ban, which directly affects the NVIDIA's A100 and forthcoming H100 integrated circuits.
According to Reuters, another chip manufacturer, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), said the U.S. government also ordered it to stop exporting its MI250 AI chips to China.
These are new technological restrictions imposed by the U.S. on China. However, the brunt of the impact will be felt by the two companies and the U.S. itself.
China is the second largest market for both NVIDIA and AMD, making up 26.42 percent and 24.92 percent of their global revenues respectively, according to their most recent annual financial reports.
The two companies are therefore trapped by their own government. Shares of AMD and NVIDIA fell 3.7 percent and 6.6 percent respectively hours after the export bans, according to Reuters.
But it seems that NVIDIA will suffer even further. NVIDIA's stock price plummeted, with its shares finishing the week down almost 15 percent, said Fox Business.
The restrictions may impact the company's ability to complete its development of H100 in a timely manner, NVIDIA said in the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing.
So it is foreseeable that the U.S. ban will negatively impact the company. NVIDIA revealed that it may lose, "Approximately 400 million USD in potential sales to China." This represents 6.8 percent of the company's expected revenue in the third fiscal quarter, "A sizable percentage of NVIDIA's overall business," Forbes magazine reported.
Again, the U.S. is trying to limit China's access to technology using so-called concern over national security as an excuse.
"This is the new Cold War reality and broader export restrictions are part and parcel of this," Amir Anvarzadeh of Asymmetric Advisors told Bloomberg. "The export restrictions will broaden and it will impact semiconductors, AI, autonomous systems and biotech," he said.
"What the U.S. has done is typical sci-tech hegemony," said China's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Wang Wenbin at a regular press conference on September 1. "The U.S. seeks to use its technological prowess as an advantage to hobble and suppress the development of emerging markets and developing countries," he said.
Opportunities and challenges often go hand in hand. Washington's move may hinder the development of China's high-end chips, but it "will accelerate the development of local datacenter GPUs such as Alibaba's" and it will boost sentiment for domestic stocks in the sector, Jeff Pu of Haitong International Securities told Bloomberg.
Bloomberg also reported that the stock shares of China's Cambricon Technologies Corp. jumped more than 30 percent over two days after U.S. export restrictions were announced. Cambricon is to a homegrown alternative to NVIDIA or AMD for AI chipmaking.
China, meanwhile, has been making every effort in tech innovation to produce more alternatives, thus realizing its self-dependence. That the U.S. perpetuates its hegemony in the sci-tech sector will not succeed, said Wang Wenbin.